Morgan Stanley sets EUR/GBP target at 0.82 on policy divergence

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Morgan Stanley outlined its currency strategy, recommending that investors take tiny positions on the currency pair, with a target set at 0.82.

The company’s analysis suggests this trade is likely to benefit from a combination of attractive volatility-adjusted carry and an anticipated enhance in UK economic growth momentum.

Morgan Stanley’s strategy is partly based on the expectation of growing policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB). The company anticipates that this divergence, particularly in interest rate policy, could lead to widening exchange rate differences, which could put downward pressure on the EUR/GBP exchange rate.

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Morgan Stanley’s recommendations come amid a sophisticated global financial landscape where central bank monetary policy plays a key role in shaping currency valuations and interest rate expectations.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed by an editor. More information can be found in our Regulations.

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