NZD/USD price analysis: The consolidation phase is intensifying, the bullfight continues

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  • The NZD/USD pair is stabilizing near the 20-day SMA as bears intensify their attempts to break the 20-day SMA.
  • Despite their fierce defense, both bulls and bears have yet to make significant progress.
  • Indicators on the daily charts highlight continued consolidation with a slight downward trend.

The NZD/USD pair dropped to a low at 0.6115 before recovering and stabilizing at the 20-day elementary moving average (SMA) of 0.6140. Both bulls and bears seem to be in a arduous situation, with attempts to break the 0.6220 area and the 20-day SMA respectively failing. This indicates an ongoing consolidation phase after the mid-May surge that saw the pair rise by over 1.30%.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has changed momentum and is now pointing lower, suggesting a slight decline in buying pressure. This downward shift in the RSI is consistent with the flat red bars on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), further supporting the consolidation narrative.

NZD/USD daily chart

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Immediate support for the NZD/USD pair currently lies at the 20-day SMA at 0.6140, with the 100- and 200-day SMAs converging on the 0.6050-0.6060 area and providing a forceful base of support for the pair. This could potentially serve as an anchor for a correction if the bears start to take control. Any moves below this convergence point could potentially signal selling conditions.

On the other hand, the 0.6200 level is the main resistance which, if broken, can be considered a buy signal.

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