Analyst Warns Bitcoin Faces Long-Term Downtrend Until 2027

Featured in:
abcd

Bitcoin’s market capitalization has fallen to around $1.46 trillion, pushing it below several major technology and commodity companies in global asset rankings.

Gold holds the top spot during BTC declines

Gold remains the world’s most valuable asset at almost $31 trillion, with Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, TSMC, Broadcom, Saudi Aramco, Tesla and Meta Platforms ranking above Bitcoin.

sadasda

The decline reflects increasing pressure on the cryptocurrency from multiple fronts – including rising inflation, geopolitical conflict and weakening investor sentiment.

Ki Young Ju, CEO of analytics firm CryptoQuant, now says a bear market is possible extend to early 2027. Its rating is based on an on-chain yield model that tracks how long investors’ losses typically last when profit-taking begins to taper off.

According to Ju, the decline in investor returns began in October 2025. He said the trend continued in the roughly 18-month pattern seen during previous downturns, pointing to similar cycles in 2014, 2018 and 2022.

The bear market clock started in October 2025

The CryptoQuant PnL Index Signal – a chart that measures investor profitability using 365-day moving averages – shows the index slowing down after peaking last year.

Ju posted a chart on the X, noting that a recovery will only be confirmed when unrealized gains rise and realized gains fall. This change has not happened yet, he added.

The value of BTCUSD is currently $73,788. Chart: TradingView

At the time of the report, the price of Bitcoin was close to $73,289, marking a slight decline in 24 hours. Data from CoinGlass shows that total open interest in the derivatives market has fallen to around $55 billion, while liquidations over the same period have reached close to $224 million.

Long players bear the bulk of the damage

Most of these losses were incurred by the long position. More than $30 million in bullish bets were lost within 24 hours, compared to about $17 million in miniature liquidations. Despite these numbers, the ratio of long and miniature positions on major exchanges, including Binance and OKX, continues to trend upward.

Broader macroeconomic conditions are increasing pressure. US PCE inflation rose to 3.8% year-over-year in April, and in response, the likelihood of the Fed raising interest rates has increased sharply.

Reports indicate that tensions between the United States and Iran have also shaken global markets, with risk sentiment in cryptocurrencies continuing to weaken.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

abcd
sadasda

Find us on

Latest articles

Related articles

See more articles

StanChart Looks for 3 Signs of BTC Bottom, Including...

Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick told clients on Friday that he believes cryptocurrency asset prices have hit...

Morpho secures $175 million round led by Paradigm, a16z...

TL;DR Morpho raised $175 million in a modern round of financing. The round was co-led by Paradigm, a16z crypto...

Ethereum can provide quantum bills for as little as...

According to Kohaku project manager at the Ethereum Foundation, Nicolas Consigny, Ethereum can start adding post-quantum security...

CFTC Staff No Action Letter Paves the Way for...

TL;DR CFTC staff issued no-action guidance on digital commodity futures. The relief applies to designated contract markets registered with...

$36 Million Humanity Protocol Hack Linked to Suspected North...

According to blockchain security firm Quantstamp, a malicious attachment provided in a phishing email indicates the involvement...

A Coinbase Quantum report warns that millions of bitcoins...

TL;DR Coinbase's Quantum Advisory Board has released a report on post-quantum migration and abandoned coins. The report estimates that...