American dollar down because investors are worried about gentle economic readings

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  • DXY trades near Zone 104.20 after a mixed response to PMI data and job offers.
  • Agreements for production activities and dismissal of employment, maintaining the risk of staging in the game.
  • Resistance is evident around 104.84 with a support group near 104.13.

The American dollar indicator (DXY), which measures the value of the American dollar in relation to the currency basket, trades on Tuesday near the 104.20 area, showing a diminutive directional attitude after a series of gentle versions of economic data in the USA. Weaker than the expected production printout ISM PMI, a decrease in job offers and cautious comments of the Fed are a dim prospects for green. Despite the modest profits, the technical background remains frail, because traders look at the future at the next macro drivers this week.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Steadie American dollar, when the cracks expand in the data

  • PMI ISM production in the USA fell to 49 in March with 50.3 in February, there is a lack of forecast 49.5.
  • The sector’s employment rate dropped to 44.7, the lowest since July last year, signaling the faster pace of work cuts.
  • The price indicator increased to 69.4 of 62.4, indicating the renovated inflation pressure due to the problems of supply -related supply.
  • The chairman of the ISM business survey committee said that the demand remains misleading for companies with treatment and production cuts.
  • The opening of work in the US has dropped to 7.56 million in February, below expectations and confirming the softening of the labor market.
  • Complete employment and separation remained basically unchanged at 5.4 million and 5.3 million, respectively.
  • Barkin Fed warned that the current data is complex to read, calling it “wrapped in thick fog”.
  • Despite the decreasing job offers, the updated SEP designs a stable unemployment rate nearly 4.4% in 2025.
  • Currency markets seem less reactive to tariffs, focusing more on signs of economic stagnation or contraction.
  • Traders are increasingly careful before the Friday payroll report (NFP).
  • CME data shows low chances for a may reduce May speed, but the pigeon pressure could be built with further data disappointments.
  • DXY still drifts between 104.00 and 105.00 when the market is looking for belief.
  • Risk sentiments remain frail, and traders are not cautious with additional drops in shares and bonds.

Technical analysis

The American dollar index publishes modest profits on Tuesday, but the wider technical forecasts remain bear. The average mobility of convergence (MACD) still signals a potential stubborn crossover, but long-term indicators such as 100-day and 200-day straight medium average (SMA), as well as a 30-day interpretation average movable (EMA), still flashes sales signals.

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The relative force indicator (RSI) at 76.92, along with stochastic readings, indicates overcrowded conditions, while the amazing oscillator remains neutral. The 20-day SMA offers delicate stubborn support. The resistance is located at 104,435, 104,841 and 104,847, while support is near 104,169, 104,165 and 104,128.

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