- Protocols from January 28-29 Fed meetings will be published on Wednesday.
- Details of the discussion on the decision to maintain unchanged rules will be examined by investors.
- Markets can see practically no chance to reduce the FED rate by 25 BPS in March.
Protocols of the United States Federal Reserve Meeting (US) (FED) (Fed) January 28-29 will be published on Wednesday at 19:00 GMT. The decision -makers decided to keep the policy rate in the range of 4.25% -4.5% at the first meeting in 2025. However, the central bank removed the previous language suggests that inflation “made progress” in the direction of 2% of the target, stating that the tempo of price increases “It remains raised.”
Jerome Powell and what they decided to carry out the principles unchanged after January
The Federal Committee of the Open Market (FOMC) voted unanimously to maintain an unchanged politics. The statement showed that officials expressed confidence that progress in reducing inflation will probably resume this year, but they emphasized the need to stop and wait for further data to confirm this perspective.
At a press conference, after the meeting, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell repeated that they did not have to hurry to make any adaptations to politics.
Commenting on the prospects of politics at the beginning of the week, the President of Philadelphia Patrick Harker said that the current economy is in favor of constant politics. Similarly, President Atlanta Fed, Raphael Bostic, noticed that the need for patience suggests that the next reduction in the rate may occur later to give more time for information.
When is the FOMC minutes spent and how can it affect the American dollar?
Fomc will publish on Wednesday a minute of politics meeting on January 28-29 at 19:00 GMT. Investors will examine discussions about the policy perspective.
In the event that the publication shows that decision -makers are ready to wait until the second half of the year before considering the cuts of rates, immediate reaction can assist in American dollars (USD) gather strength towards his rivals. On the other hand, the market reaction may remain suppressed and tiny -lived if the document repeats that officials will adopt the patient’s approach to further alleviating the policy without providing fresh tips on time.
According to the CME Fedwatch tool, markets currently see virtually no chance to reduce the rate of 25 base points in March. In addition, they value over 80% probability of another policy in May. Therefore, market positioning suggests that the publication would have to offer a very clear language to ensure a constant augment in USD.
Eren Sengezer, a leading European session analyst from FXStreet, provides a tiny perspective for the USD index:
“The relative force indicator (RSI) on the daily chart remains well below 50, and the index remains below the 20-day straight movable average (SMA), emphasizing the bear in the short period.”
“On the other hand, 106.30-106.00 equalizes as a key support area, in which there are 100-day SMA and fibonacci 38.2% deposition up 2024-January 2025 if this area of support fails, 105.00 -104.90 (200-day SMA, fibonacci 50% discharge) can be set as the next target of the bear. Looking north, the resistances could be seen at 107.50-107.70 (20-day SMA, fibonacci 23.6% discharge), 108.00 (50-day SMA) and 109.00 (round level). “