XRP retreats to $0.55, chain indicators reveal investor pain

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This article is also available in Spanish.

XRP is now trading at $0.55, after weeks of speculation and excitement from investors who expected a price surge. However, fear and uncertainty are driving the market, with Bitcoin and most altcoins trading at lower levels. This decline has affected investor sentiment across the board.

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Santiment’s key data shows a noticeable shift in the outlook for XRP holders. The optimism that once fueled confidence is now waning as most investors sit on unrealized losses. This change in sentiment underscores growing concerns about the future of XRP, especially in the context of broader market challenges. Given the market pressures, XRP’s outlook looks increasingly uncertain.

XRP Holders Face Unrealized Losses

XRP has shown relative strength compared to other altcoins, falling 13% since August 24, when it peaked at $0.631. However, the decline has caused significant anxiety among investors, reflecting uncertainty in the broader market.

Key data from Santiment sheds lightweight on the situation, revealing that both the 30-day and 7-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio for XRP have turned negative. A negative MVRV ratio indicates that XRP is currently undervalued, meaning that on average, if all coins were to be sold at the current price, most traders would make a loss.

XRP’s 30-day and 7-day MVRV ratios are turning negative. | Source: MVRV ratio from Saintly

This change in MVRV metrics is significant as it suggests that most XRP holders are now at risk of experiencing negative returns on their investment. The data reflects a broader trend of investor caution, especially in lightweight of the ongoing market volatility. While XRP’s performance has been relatively better than many other altcoins, the negative MVRV metrics underscore growing concerns within the investment community.

Declining MVRV numbers are a key indicator of market sentiment, suggesting that optimism around XRP may be waning. Investors are increasingly wary of potential further declines that could deepen losses. While XRP has shown resilience, current market conditions and negative MVRV numbers suggest caution is warranted. The coming days will be critical for XRP holders as they navigate this challenging market environment, weighing the potential risks and rewards of holding or selling their assets.

$0.55 Key Support Needs to Hold for Consolidation

XRP is currently trading at $0.559, holding just above a critical support level, the 200-day moving average (MA) of $0.5509. This level is crucial to maintaining bullish momentum as it acted as a forceful support, giving hope to traders expecting a price rebound.

XRP holds above the 1D 200 MA.
XRP is holding above the 1D 200 MA. | Source: XRP Chart on TradingView

If the price stays above this MA, it could signal a potential continuation of the uptrend, calming the bulls. However, if the price falls below this key indicator, it could trigger a further decline, pushing the price towards lower demand levels.

The next major support to watch will be around $0.48, a critical level for bulls to defend. A hold above the 200 MA is crucial to maintain a positive outlook, while a break below could indicate increased selling pressure. As XRP progresses through this crucial phase, traders and investors are closely monitoring these levels to assess the market’s next direction.

Featured image is from Dall-E, chart is from TradingView

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