AUD/USD Price Forecast: Stuck Between Key SMAs as RSI Turns Bearish

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The AUD/USD pair is falling during Friday’s North American session and may remain sideways within key technical support and resistance levels, with a 20-day uncomplicated moving average (SMA) at 0.7187 and a 50-day SMA at 0.7095. At the time of writing, the pair was trading at around 0.7137, down 0.17%.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Technically, the AUD/USD market structure suggests further decline if the pair falls below the April 29 low at 0.7101, reaching a 4-week low at 0.7079 on May 19.

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The relative strength index (RSI) has turned bearish, signaling that sellers are gaining momentum as it has fallen below the neutral 50 level.

For a bearish resumption to occur, AUD/USD must clear the May 21 low of 0.7099 for traders to test the 50-day SMA. In case of further weakness, the next support level becomes the 100-day SMA at 0.7024, followed by 0.7000.

On the other hand, a break above the 20-day SMA will expose the milestone at 0.7200. Above this area, the next resistance is the year-to-date (YTD) high at 0.7264.

AUD/USD price chart – daily

AUD/USD daily chart

Australian dollar price this week

The table below shows the percentage change in the Australian Dollar (AUD) against the major currencies traded this week. The Australian dollar was strongest against the Canadian dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY BOOR AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.14% -0.87% 0.25% 0.46% 0.28% -0.15% -0.23%
EUR -0.14% -1.03% 0.17% 0.30% 0.12% -0.22% -0.39%
GBP 0.87% 1.03% 1.16% 1.33% 1.17% 0.81% 0.61%
JPY -0.25% -0.17% -1.16% 0.15% -0.05% -0.45% -0.52%
BOOR -0.46% -0.30% -1.33% -0.15% -0.20% -0.60% -0.72%
AUD -0.28% -0.12% -1.17% 0.05% 0.20% -0.34% -0.43%
NZD 0.15% 0.22% -0.81% 0.45% 0.60% 0.34% -0.20%
CHF 0.23% 0.39% -0.61% 0.52% 0.72% 0.43% 0.20%

The heat map shows the percentage changes of the major currencies relative to each other. The base currency is selected from the left column and the quote currency from the top row. For example, if you select Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

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