XRP holders are currently seeing hefty losses as the price continues to fall from 2025 highs. These holders risk greater losses on their investments as cryptocurrency analyst CasiTrades warned that XRP may continue to record modern lows.
XRP holders are currently seeing vast negative returns on their investments
On-chain analytics platform Sanctuary unveiled that the average portfolios that were busy on XRP Ledger (XRPL) over the past year, their investments have fallen by an average of 41%. Santiment noted that this is the lowest average value to realized value (MVRV) for XRP holders since the FTX crash in November 2022.
Santiment noted that because crypto assets are zero-sum trading games, significantly negative average returns, not just the price drop but the trader’s actual profits, suggest that the risk of buying or adding is much lower than average. XRP positions. The platform explained that this is because competing traders already have a sedate problem with “blood on the streets”.
On-chain analytics platform Glassnode also highlighted how underwater XRP holders are currently. In Post Xthe platform noted that at $1.33, the percentage of XRP supply in profit fell to 43.4%, the lowest level since July 2024.
Glassnode noted earlier that a vast portion XRP supply made a loss even as the price hovered around $2.15. This meant that the XRP market was a “prime and structurally fragile market” dominated by slow buyers.
XRP is preparing for another collapse
Cryptocurrency analyst CasiTrades pointed out that XRP is preparing for another decline, which could expose XRP holders to further losses. She noticed that the reflection from Ceasefire between the US and Iran the agreement is already over and that a wave 3 down is expected. The analyst also revealed that the ceasefire over the last 24 hours has led XRP perfectly to the 0.618 retracement, which has given the market a clear wave 2 rally.
CasiTrades admitted that the Wave 2 move for XRP eliminated one of the smaller subwaves, but the larger structure remained unchanged. She added that the real move has yet to happen and that she still expects a wave 3 move down towards $1.09, which the analyst said could accelerate quickly.
The the analyst warned earlier that XRP could fall towards $1.08, or macro support at 0.786, and then make another bounce before falling to $0.87, or macro support at 0.854, marking the fifth wave of this bearish move down.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.33, down more than 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
