The price of silver (XAG/USD) turns positive on Friday after another bearish session as heightened tensions in the Middle East reduced the white metal’s safe-haven appeal, prompting traders to turn to the US dollar (USD). Nevertheless, buyers emerged, causing the XAG/USD rate to rise closer to $70.00, an raise of 2.70%.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
The silver price appears poised to consolidate further after falling below the 100-day basic moving average (SMA), which remains above the spot price as a key resistance level at $73.66.
The bears remain in the lead, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), although the index is trending upwards towards a neutral level that, if broken, could send silver prices higher.
For the bulls to regain control, the XAG/USD pair needs to clear the $70.00 mark, although it would gain further traction by clearing the 100-day SMA at $73.66. In this case, the next resistance would be the intraday low on March 3, which turned out to be resistance at $77.98, ahead of the 20-day SMA at $78.63.
Conversely, the downtrend will resume if sellers break above the March 26 low of 66.73, which could push XAG/USD towards the current week’s low of $61.02.
XAG/USD price chart – daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal that investors like to trade. Historically, it has been used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, investors may turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver in coins or bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can fluctuate due to many factors. Geopolitical instability or fear of a deep recession may push silver prices higher due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise at lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on the behavior of the US dollar (USD) when the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A forceful dollar tends to keep the price of silver at bay, while a weaker dollar will likely push prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – there is much more silver than gold – and recycling rates can also influence prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics and solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivities of all metals – greater than copper and gold. An raise in demand can raise prices, while a decrease usually lowers them. The dynamics of the economies of the United States, China and India can also contribute to price fluctuations: in the case of the United States and especially China, enormous industrial sectors operate silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for precious metals for jewelry production also plays a key role in pricing.
Silver prices usually follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver tends to follow suit because their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The gold-to-silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can facilitate determine the relative valuation of the two metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio may suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.
