Solana returns to the critical demand zone – risk of trend reload or risk of failure?

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Solana retreated to the key demand zone – a level that may determine the continuation of the forceful trend or its weakening. How the price reacts will be key here, as a hold can signal a trend overload, while a breakdown could push SOL toward a broader market collapse.

Solana returns to the critical weekly demand zone

Giving update on a weekly basis, Cyril-DeFi explained that Solana was one of the standout players in this cycle. Nevertheless, the price has returned to the critical demand zone, which may determine its next crucial move. According to Cyril, this area has historically been a tipping point where momentum either reignites or wanes.

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This is the type of zone where forceful trends tend to recharge if buyers successfully defend them. However, failure to maintain would suggest that the previous strength is losing traction, increasing the risk that the trend structure will begin to deteriorate.

From Cyril’s perspective, a forceful hold on current levels will put Solana at the forefront of the next altcoin push, strengthening its relative strength in the broader market. On the other hand, the loss of this demand zone would likely mean that SOL would enter extended consolidation, following a broader market segmentation rather than outperforming. In conclusion, Cyril-DeFi emphasized that he is closely monitoring the price behavior in this area, rather than trying to predict the results in advance.

The only long configuration with great conviction on the table

According to a recent Solana post provided by Ardi, only one long configuration stands out as technically sound under current conditions. With the market still under pressure, waiting for confirmation seems safer than anticipating a bottom, as premature entries tend to be penalized in frail structures.

Ardi highlighted the $119 level as a key turning point for Solana. Successful recovery of this zone, preferably via spring or a brief weakening below resistance, could signal a return in demand. If this happens, the price could move higher towards the top of the range as a result of lower macro growth rather than a full bullish reversal.

From a risk/reward perspective, this recovery scenario remains the most attractive option available. It provides a clear technical trigger, a defined invalidation and a logical upside target, allowing investors to participate without overexposure in an uncertain environment.

He also outlined an alternative strategy involving a 200-week uncomplicated moving average around the $100 level, an area that previously acted as macro support in April 2025. Ardi cautioned, however, that in the event of a broader downtrend, the odds are often against investors until a major level is regained, making a decisive move back above $119 crucial before confidence can truly return.

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