Could SUI Fall to $1.40? On-chain data reveals falling demand

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This article is also available in Spanish.

SUI is currently testing a key supply zone after a massive 95% rally triggered by the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut announcement. The explosive growth, fueled by significant buying pressure, has led to volatile price action, raising questions about whether this upward momentum can be sustained.

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As the SUI hovers near current highs, there is growing speculation in the market regarding the possibility of a correction towards lower demand levels, with $1.40 being a key target.

Key Coinglass data shows a decline in market demand, signaling a potential slowdown in purchasing activity. This has caused concern among investors who expect prices to fall in the coming days. The sudden enhance has sparked both optimism and caution as investors weigh the potential for further gains against the risk of a pointed reversal.

With SUI currently at a critical juncture, the next few days will be crucial in determining whether the upward trend will continue or if the market will return to more stable demand levels. Investors are watching closely, ready to adjust their strategies based on price developments.

The SUI financing rate signals falling prices

SUI is at a tipping point after days of extreme price action and significant gains. After an impressive 95% surge since the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate cut, some investors and traders are starting to take profits, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. Many now believe a correction to $1.40 is inevitable, especially once buying pressure subsides.

Key data from Coinglass suggests cooling demand and the financing rate will turn negative and amount to -0.067, which is the lowest level of the year. The funding rate is a key indicator in futures trading, representing the periodic payment between investors who go long (betting on price increases) and those who go tiny (betting on price declines).

SUI funding rate of -0.067. | Source: Coin

When an asset’s funding rate becomes negative, it means more traders open tiny positions, expecting the price to fall. This change reflects growing caution in the market as investors begin to prepare for a potential downturn.

With financing rates so low and demand dwindling, the market is showing signs of cooling down after September’s explosive SUI rally. As a result, investors and traders are now patiently waiting for a correction to lower demand levels near $1.40, which could create modern buying opportunities or signal further declines, depending on broader market conditions.

Key levels to watch

SUI is currently trading at $1.73 after days of volatile prices. The price rose but stalled at the key resistance level of $2 and has since entered a consolidation phase just below that level. This key level has become a barrier for bulls, and a break above $2 is necessary for SUI to regain momentum and confirm the bullish trend.

SUI is testing key supply levels below $2.
SUI is testing key supply levels below $2. | Source: SUIUSDT chart on TradingView

However, the market remains uncertain and if the price fails to maintain the support level at $1.60, a deeper correction may occur. Analysts predict that a break below $1.60 could trigger a 20% decline, bringing SUI into the demand zone at $1.40. This level is closely monitored by investors and traders as a key support to prevent further downward pressure.

As the market fluctuates, SUI’s price action remains in a fine balance between a potential rebound and further correction. Subsequent moves around these key levels will likely determine whether bulls regain control or whether bears continue to push prices lower in the coming days.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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