The price zone that has remained at its lowest level throughout 2025 is currently blocking XRP from recovering. The $1.80 level – once a reliable support – turned into resistance in January 2026, and the token has not come close to regaining it since then. Until that happens, one analyst says XRP remains “in serious trouble.”
The channel break that changed everything
For most of last year XRP was trading in a enormous parallel channel with a high near $3.45 and a low near $1.80. The token remained within these limits even as its price began to decline after reaching an all-time high of $3.60 in July 2025. There were lower highs and lower lows in the fourth quarter, but $1.80 held.
Then January came. XRP closed the month below this level for the first time and did not look back. The lower limit of $1.80 became a ceiling and every attempt to go higher ended with this wall.
If I zoom out, I can still see $XRP in deep trouble.
The stock is on a clear downtrend with a series of lower lows and lower highs, and most notably, it is still below the key level at $1.80.
Until we break the downward trend, we can expect the “no support zone” to fill. pic.twitter.com/mNuF8O8LWo
— Sjuul | AltCryptoGems (@AltCryptoGems) March 18, 2026
Analyst Sjuul from the AltCryptoGems channel presented the situation related to the recent market collapse. Zooming in on the daily chart, he pointed to the pattern of lower lows and lower highs that has defined XRP price action since the July peak – a structure that leaves the broader downtrend intact regardless of short-term bounces.
A 15 percent escalate that still hasn’t gone anywhere
XRP actually achieved a period of growth between March 9 and 16 – up seven days from eight, representing its best performance since September 2025. The token rose 15% during this window, recovering to $1.50 and closing at $1.54 on March 16.
But the rally was stopped almost immediately. Earlier in the week, the move towards $1.60 encountered resistance at $1.6074 and since then, XRP has retreated for three consecutive days, currently settling at around $1.46. The recovery, while briefly appearing impressive, never came close to $1.80.
For context, XRP fell to $1.27 on February 28 during the initial market reaction to the Israel-Iran conflict before rising back above $1.50. The March escalate was largely a reflection from this low, rather than a trend reversal.
Two scenarios, one number
Sjuul believes the path forward is clear. XRP either recovers $1.80 and pushes back into the parallel channel – invalidating the bearish setup – or it doesn’t, and the risk of loss increases dramatically.
The level that points to the downside is the $1.20 to $1.30 zone. This area offered no resistance during XRP’s November 2024 surge in what analysts are calling the “no support zone” – a price range that the market broke through so quickly that few buyers took positions there.
Since this rally, this zone has acted as a cushion during declines. If $1.80 continues to hold as resistance, Sjuul suggests that XRP could return to this range.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
