DBS Group Research expects Taiwan’s upcoming January export orders and industrial production to show robust double-digit growth, helped by last year’s low base and robust global AI-driven demand, as well as semiconductor and ICT inventory replenishment. CPI is forecast to be above 1.5% in February for food and holiday-related services. The statistics agency’s updated forecasts for GDP and CPI for 2026 are broadly in line with DBS forecasts.
The demand for AI and replenishment are driving the momentum
“The economic data set will be released this week after the Chinese New Year holiday.”
“January export orders and industrial production are likely to record strong double-digit growth, driven in part by the low base effect from last year’s CNY holiday and in part by sustained growth in global demand for artificial intelligence, as well as inventory replenishment in the semiconductor and broader ICT sectors.”
“February CPI inflation is expected to rise to over 1.5%, up from 0.7% in January, reflecting higher food and service prices during the CNY holiday season. The national statistics agency recently revised upwards its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 7.7% and slightly revised its 2026 CPI inflation forecast to 1.7%.
(This article was created with the aid of an artificial intelligence tool and has been reviewed by an editor.)
