This analyst called the Bitcoin price crash 4 months ago, but there is more

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A few months ago, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst outlined the exact window in which The price of Bitcoin may enter a phase of rapid decline. At the time, the projection seemed extreme. Now, as price behavior begins to align with this roadmap, the analyst has released a much more extensive update – one that not only amplifies the emergency call but also maps what comes before and after the next major axis.

Bitcoin’s multi-cyclical price pattern signals a structural reset

In the update common on X, the analyst integrates annual, monthly, and weekly cycles to determine both the potential size of the decline and the timing of the next pivot. On an annual basisBitcoin is in what he calls an extreme risk zone ahead of an expected return around February 2. The structure is translated inside out with distributive price action – a pattern associated with overdue cycle weakness.

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Compares the current configuration with the previous harmonic phase in which: Bitcoin fell by about 50% from an all-time high before reaching the same pivot window. This decline resulted in a rebound of about 40% but did not reach a fresh record high, suggesting that February’s turnaround may provide relief rather than expansion. It also indicates a macro risk window for the period from April to September 2026.

On a monthly basis, the analyst sets the decisive turn around December 22. Historical declines for similar harmonics have been 56%, 77%, and 34%, depending on the cycle context. The 77% decline occurred during the bear market, while the 34% retracement created a mid-bull cycle. Extra rebounds ranged from 140% to 375%, with a subsequent escalate of 158%, showing that monthly harmonics often feature the sharpest price fluctuations.

In a weekly time slotthe closer turn will be around November 19. Early pullbacks ranged from 20% to 34%, followed by rallies of 99%, 96%, 95%, 127% and 69%, providing tactical signals that investors can rely on for short-term adjustments within a broader trend.

What’s more: improved crash targets and lower window

In addition to confirming the original failure call, the analyst refines the deterioration action plan by synchronizing all three cycles. As the harmonics equalize, the variability and importance of the pivot increases. While full payouts range from 20% to 77%, it narrows the likely decline to 34% to 55% from the all-time high, noting deeper bear market conditions are not confirmed yet.

November’s weekly return comes too early for a macro bottom, with higher time pressure will likely postpone the real turnaround in January. A dead rebound is possible in overdue November before further decline occurs. Key Levels: $90,000 (~30% down) in November, $72,000 (~43% below high) in January, with further support at $45,000 and $28,000 if selling intensifies.

The analyst remains cautiousnoting that the latest comparable annual harmonic is up 40%, not above an all-time high, with similar limits expected ahead of the May-September 2026 risk window. However, while his four-month emergency call has been maintained, he believes Bitcoin’s path is not over yet – investors should brace for further declines and a multi-stage recovery shaping the next macro cycle.

BTC bears continue to put pressure on price | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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