USD/CNY: Potential recapitalization in the financial sector – MUFG

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Unconfirmed reports suggest China may inject RMB 200 billion into gigantic insurers to shore up their capital buffers, as well as an additional RMB 300 billion to major banks. The move is aimed at supporting the banking sector amid downward pressure on net interest margins. The USD/CNY PBoC peg remained below the 7.0000 level, supported by a weaker dollar, noted Lin Li, director of Asia Global Markets Research, and Khang Sek Lee, research fellow at MUFG Bank.

Government support for the banking sector

“If true, it is believed that the time has come, as China Banking and Insurance News reported in November that more than two-thirds of the 173 insurers that reported saw their solvency ratios decline in the third quarter compared to the previous quarter.”

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“On the currency front, the PBoC USD/CNY fix held firmly below the 7.0000 level this week, partly supported by a weaker dollar after breaking through this level last Friday.”

“Looking ahead, we believe that yuan appreciation (if the market so chooses) will be moderate, guided by PBoC USD/CNY arrangements to avoid overshoot risk.”

(This article was created with the support of an artificial intelligence tool and has been reviewed by an editor.)

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