XRP has lagged behind the modest rebound in the broader cryptocurrency market, even though its total market capitalization rose by $20 billion this week. According to chartists’ analysis, the token’s recent peaceful may be part of a longer pattern that ended with keen increases in previous cycles. Traders watching XRP fluctuate are told that the real challenge is to hang on during sluggish periods, rather than reacting to short-term price movements.
Sequence of parts cited as a historical pattern
According to reports from an analyst known as Cryptollica, XRP price the story can be divided into a four-part sequence that often precedes huge raids. The first known cycle lasted from 2014 to 2017, when XRP hit a low of $0.002 in July 2014 and then made higher lows while trading above a bullish support line.
The analyst says the real obstacle facing XRP holders is time and patience, not price fluctuations. Long periods of flat movement can erode confidence, even if the broader structure remains intact. XRP has been trending sideways for months after rising to $3.4 and this sluggish pace is being described as a phase where many investors lose patience and exit the market early, well before any major move begins.
They Shake You Out in “PART 3”
So watch in “PART 4”. 👁️A’s greatest enemy $XRP A handle is not a price, it’s TIME. Stick to structure (Fractal):
2014–2017: Parts 1, 2 and 3 were made
➡️ Result: Rally.2021–2026: Production of parts 1, 2 and 3
➡️ What will happen next?— Cryptollica⚡️ (@Cryptollica) January 12, 2026
Based on the same analysis, previous XRP cycles were found to have followed a similar path. The price remained peaceful for an extended period of time and then moved quickly after the waiting phase ended. The message is blunt: nothing may look bad on the chart, but the delay itself becomes pressure. For those holding XRP near $2.05, the challenge is not to avoid losses, but to endure the wait without reacting to boredom and frustration.
The current run of XRP reflects the previous phases
Cryptollica maps a similar pattern into more recent history. Part 1 begins from the March 2020 low of $0.114, with higher lows forming through the end of 2024. Part 2, according to the charts, began in November 2024, with the token rising from around $0.5 and peaking near $3.4 in January 2025.
Since that peak, XRP has retreated and entered what the analyst is calling Part 3 – a consolidation phase that some holders find lifeless, but which – based on the model – could set the stage for an eventual upward leg.
Bull case pinned to time and utility
Cryptollica predicts that when the cycle moves into Part 4, XRP could surge towards $8, which would represent a roughly 290% augment from its current price near $2.05. The reports also highlight the views of Bird, the creator of the XRP Ledger ecosystem, who argued that XRP should be included in long-term savings plans.
XRP should be included as part of lifesaving plans.
Most people keep their money in banks earning around 4-6% a year and feel comfortable doing so, but they rarely take inflation into account.
Over time, the purchasing power of, for example, the US dollar and the British pound…
— Ptak (@Ptak_XRPL) January 11, 2026
Bird noted that regular bank accounts offering 4-6% returns may not be able to keep up with rising everyday costs, and suggested that regulatory clarity and growing apply cases could support demand for the token.
Tokenization, ETFs and Stablecoins in the spotlight
The developer and other supporters link potential future demand to several trends: tokenization of real assets on XRPL, emergence ETFsand up-to-date stablecoins like RLUSD.
These developments have been cited as possible sources of steady capital inflows that would lend a hand sustain higher prices. At the same time, reports advise caution: patterns that have worked before are no guarantee, and time can be costly for holders selling during long periods of silence.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
