- The American dollar indicator fell nearly 107.00 after a acute drop in Thursday.
- Retail sales in the USA fell by 0.9%in January, there is a lack of expectations and speculation of lowering the refueling rate.
- The profitability of the US treasury still falls with 10 years of profitability below 4.50%.
The American dollar index (DXY), which follows the results of the American dollar compared to the six main currencies, remains stable after publishing losses in the previous session. At the time of writing, DXY floats around 107.00, because economic data still paint a mixed image. Poor retail sales burden moods, but industrial production provides some support.
Daily Digest Market Movers: American Dollar weakens when traders evaluate Fed again
- Retail sales in the USA fell in January by 0.9%, much worse than the forecast -0.1%, increasing concerns about consumer expenses.
- December retail sales have been changed to 0.7%, slightly compensating the latest disappointing data.
- Industrial production increased in January by 0.5%, overcoming expectations by 0.3%, but slowing down to 1.0%of December.
- Poor retail sales can conduct traders to re -assess the expectations regarding the path of the federal reserve.
- Fed Chairman Jerome Powell repeated that monetary policy corrections require material progress of inflation or weaknesses of the labor market.
- For now, the CME Fedwatch tool currently shows 55% probability of unchanged rates in June, reflecting market uncertainty.
- The profitability of the US treasury is still falling rapidly, and 10 years of income dropped to 4.47%, and investors lose interest in American dollars.
DXY Technical perspectives: Further risk of decline when the bear’s shoots are built
The American dollar indicator remains under pressure after losing a 20-day straight movable average (SMA), signaling bear. The relative force indicator (RSI) still weakens, confirming the negative shoots, while the divergence of the average movable convergence (MacD) remains rooted in the bear’s territory.
Immediate support is evident on a 100-day SMA near 106.30 with a break below this level, which can confirm short-term negative perspectives. On the other hand, the resistance is now evident at 107.50, followed by a 20-day SMA to 108.00.
