Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Hits New Record High: What Does This Mean for BTC?

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This article is also available in Spanish.

The bitcoin derivatives market has reached a significant milestone as the asset’s estimated leverage ratio rose to its highest level of the year, according to the latest data data from CryptoQuant programs.

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This metric, which tracks the ratio of open interest to coin reserves on exchanges, signals increased operate of leverage among market participants. The growing trend suggests that investors are taking on more risk by “using higher leverage,” which could significantly impact Bitcoin’s price.

The Impact of High Leverage on the Bitcoin Market

The augment in Bitcoin’s estimated leverage ratio highlights the growing operate of leverage among derivatives investors. Leverage allows traders to borrow funds to augment their exposure to Bitcoin without having to have the full amount of capital up front.

While this can augment profits during periods of market upturns, it also increases the risk of incurring significant losses if the market moves against the position.

Estimated Bitcoin Leverage Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant

A high leverage ratio can often be a double-edged sword for the cryptocurrency market. On the one hand, it could indicate that investors are becoming more confident in Bitcoin’s potential for an uptrend, especially if the market sees a breakout.

On the other hand, if the price of Bitcoin continues to decline, it could lead to a wave of liquidations as overly leveraged positions are closed, further deepening the downward pressure.

This trend of increasing leverage has caught the attention of various market analysts. CryptoQuant analyst EgyHash pointed out that the estimated leverage ratio reaching its highest point this year could lead to increased volatility in the market.

The higher the leverage, the more sensitive the market becomes to price fluctuations, as even petite movements can trigger liquidations and create cascading effects.

Analysts weigh bitcoin’s future

Meanwhile, Bitcoin price continues to face difficulties, in particular being unable to break above key resistance.

The cryptocurrency has struggled to maintain momentum, and despite increased leverage in the market, Bitcoin has seen just a 0.2% gain in the past 24 hours and a 2.1% decline over the past week. As a result, the asset is currently trading below $57,000, with a current price of $56,871.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving sideways on the 1-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on Trading

As Bitcoin’s price remains under pressure, several prominent cryptocurrency analysts have shared their insights on the future of the cryptocurrency.

Among them is an analyst known as CryptoBullet, who recently compared the current bitcoin cycle to previous bull markets.

In the post on X, CryptoBullet illuminated similarities between the current market and Bitcoin’s 2013 cycle, noting that the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (Stoch RSI) has shown patterns that mirror those seen during the 2013 rally.

CryptoBullet’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin may be entering the final phase of its current cycle, with the potential for a “wave 5” price rally that could propel the asset to recent highs.

Although the analyst admitted that this cycle is different from the 2017 and 2021 cycles, technical indicators point to the possibility of a higher high on the bitcoin price chart in the near future.

Featured image created with DALL-E, chart from TradingView

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